CAIMS 2023

Short Talks

Physical distancing and vaccine compliance behaviour in a mathematical model of COVID-19

Iain Moyles

true  Wed, 8:45 ! Livein  Room 18for  25min

In this talk we present a mathematical model of COVID-19 which includes non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) as well as vaccination. The decision to follow NPIs is driven by active case numbers while the decision to resist is driven by a compliance cost. Our model includes wanining immunity from disease, vaccination, as well as a behavioural immunity from perceived protection. We present a counter-factual analysis of the model which includes a variable proportion of people being non-compliant with NPIs as well as vaccination and assess the overall impact on cases and hospitalization.

 Overview  Program